Finance Knuggets
Nov 26, 2025
- Email 1: Early Nvidia Enthusiast’s AI Stock Picks
- Tony Wang from T. Rowe Price, who was an early Nvidia investor back in 2017-18, remains bullish on Nvidia and other big tech AI plays despite recent stock pullbacks.
- He focuses on identifying companies in the 20-30% segment of their S-curve growth, which he believes yields the highest returns.
- Besides Nvidia, Wang highlights Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Alphabet’s Google, KLA (semiconductor tools), Cisco (networking), Celestica (design/manufacturing for AI data centers), and Shopify as top AI-related investment opportunities.
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Despite current market volatility and challenges to Nvidia’s AI chip dominance, Wang recommends long-term investors “lean in” to tech names, as overall AI capital expenditure is rising.
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Email 2: SaaS CFO Newsletter Highlights
- Ben from TheSaaSCFO.com is hosting live training on forecasting subscription, usage, and services revenue, valuable for SaaS businesses planning for 2026.
- The 7th Annual Tech Stack Survey is underway to understand current back office technology in SaaS companies; participants get access to SaaS metrics templates and discounts on training courses.
- Recent report insights: 73% of finance professionals report business growth exceeding capacity, nearly half use AI in some finance functions, but 23% cite data quality as a major automation obstacle.
- Sponsored content highlights end-to-end data reporting in Power BI and fundraising advice for SaaS startups.
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Upcoming events include trainings on revenue forecasting, tech stack optimization, and SaaS scaling workshops.
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Email 3: Axios Pro Rata – Oil Fire Sales & VC Deals
- Lukoil, Russia’s second largest oil company, is selling its international assets ahead of U.S. sanctions effective Dec 13, but deals face uncertainty due to regulatory and geopolitical constraints.
- Carlyle is interested in the entire package but has not begun full diligence; there is ambiguity on what U.S. authorities will approve.
- Other potential buyers include Chevron, ExxonMobil, and Adnoc; asset values expected to be discounted due to sanction risks.
- Notable M&A and fundraising activity: Sinclair’s offer to buy remaining stake in E.W. Scripps; several VC deals in diverse sectors like biotech, financial services automation, AI startups, and fintech.
- Recent personnel moves include Tim Alden joining Barclays as global head of aerospace investment banking and other executive shifts.
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John Backus, influential D.C. venture capitalist, passed away.
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Email 4: Money Stuff – Crypto, Prediction Markets, and AI
- Discussion of crypto treasury companies that hold significant crypto assets but are publicly traded on stock markets; MSCI has proposed excluding these “digital asset treasury companies” from stock indexes due to concerns they resemble investment funds more than operating companies.
- The exclusion could lead to substantial selling pressure on companies like Michael Saylor’s Strategy Inc., affecting valuations.
- Exploration of contagion risk from crypto market crashes into broader financial markets through leverage, stablecoin runs, crypto-bank exposures, and retail investor behavior.
- Prediction markets and legal sports gambling are growing, potentially affecting credit risk among subprime lenders due to behavioral risks in consumers.
- Analysis of hedging real-world economic risks via prediction markets is met with skepticism, with the real financial impact likely limited.
- SolarWinds settled an SEC securities fraud suit related to poor password security after a hacking incident.
- Napster (now a metaverse company) faces scandals over unfulfilled funding promises.
- Elon Musk’s xAI Grok chatbot is programmed to “praise Elon Musk at all times,” highlighting AI alignment issues.
- Various brief notes on financial market developments, recent news, and political figures, including James Fishback’s run for Governor of Florida.
Stay Well!
