Finance Knuggets

Nov 15, 2025

Subject: 💥 Investing Research & Market Analysis [November 10, 2025]

Hello,

Welcome back to the #1 finance newsletter! Today’s issue is packed with valuable advice to help you build wealth. Thank you for joining the 108,000 investors who trust this newsletter for insights on money, investing, and the economy.

Here’s what we cover this week:

  1. Markets & Economy:
  2. Market & Economic Analysis, impacts on you.
  3. Top 5 Finance Events of the Week.
  4. 3 Important Charts and their significance.
  5. Economic Outlook & Market Sentiment.

  6. Stocks:

  7. Stock Picks and Research.
  8. Insider Trades from Billionaires, Politicians & CEOs.
  9. Top 5 Stocks this Week.
  10. Trade of the Week.
  11. 5 Stocks to Watch (Earnings this Week).

  12. Real Estate:

  13. Market Analytics & Predictions.
  14. Interest Rate Predictions.

  15. Macro:

  16. Technical Analysis (S&P 500, Tech, Bitcoin).
  17. Key Events This Week.

Market & Economic Analysis Highlights:

  • Tech stocks took the biggest hit in months; Nasdaq posted its worst week since April amid AI valuation concerns.
  • Consumer confidence dropped to a 3.5-year low; Americans are uneasy about the government shutdown and the economy’s path.
  • Palantir beat expectations with a 52% jump in government AI contract sales.
  • AMD narrowly met margin targets but secured a deal with OpenAI.
  • Berkshire Hathaway beat forecasts; Buffett is stepping down as CEO year-end.
  • International markets are thriving; South Korea’s KOSPI is the best-performing index this year, and the UK’s FTSE 100 hit a record high.
  • Aluminum prices surged due to China tightening supply amid rising global demand.

Important Advice:

  • View market pullbacks as buying opportunities rather than threats.
  • Take profits in your biggest winners (100%+ gains) and build cash reserves to 15-20% of your portfolio.
  • Add international exposure if you lack it.
  • Use stop-losses for speculative positions.
  • For cash holders, avoid deploying all at once; dollar-cost average and remain patient.

Top 5 Finance Events:

  1. The median age of first-time U.S. homebuyers is now 40 years, up from 33 in 2021.
  2. Michael Burry, known for predicting the 2008 crash, has shorted Palantir and NVIDIA.
  3. 70.5% of new tariffs were passed onto consumers, raising costs.
  4. U.S. household debt hits a record $18.6 trillion.
  5. OpenAI’s $1 trillion IPO dream — revolution or bubble?

Layoffs in October were the highest since 2003, signaling trouble ahead as companies prepare for possible recession.

Consumer sentiment is at its second lowest level on record, a warning that spending will likely contract, impacting business revenues and employment.

Office CMBS delinquency rate hit 11.7%, the highest in history, reflecting distress in commercial real estate and indicating systemic financial risk.

Economic Outlook & Market Sentiment:

  • Fear & Greed Index indicates fear dominates, an opportunity for patient investors.
  • AAII Investor Index shows neutrality, reflecting uncertainty.
  • Economic indicators are mixed; diversification and cash reserves are crucial.

Stock Picks & Research:

  • Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT): Offers diversified tech exposure including Nvidia. Suitable for long-term investors comfortable with volatility. Use dollar-cost averaging.
  • Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC): The world’s leading chip manufacturer, essential for AI and tech infrastructure, with strong moat and revenue growth. Geopolitical risks exist but the business is dominant.
  • NextEra Energy (NEE): Largest clean energy producer in America, powering AI data centers and poised for earnings growth through 2027. Offers stability and dividends.

Insider Trades to Watch:

  • Carl Icahn has made a $20.8 million activist investment in Monro Inc ($MNRO), an undervalued auto service company. His involvement signals potential for value unlocking.

For detailed analysis, stock picks, and additional insights, please consider subscribing or upgrading for full access.

Thank you for reading and investing wisely!

Best regards,

Andrew Lokenauth

Stay Well!

summy
summy