Finance Knuggets
Dec 25, 2025
- Email 1 Summary – Podcast on 2026 US-China Geoeconomic Dynamics:
- The ASEAN Wonk Podcast features Matthew Goodman discussing US-China relations and geoeconomic developments expected in 2026.
- Key topics include US tariff policies, evolving trade agreements with countries like Malaysia and Cambodia, and US-China dealmaking.
- The podcast highlights China’s upcoming hosting of APEC and the US chairing the G-20, as well as broader issues like economic statecraft and regional cooperation.
- Goodman notes the unpredictability of US trade policy under the “Trump 2.0” administration, the strategic components in trade deals related to economic security, and shifts in multilateralism.
- The discussion covers the outcomes of the recent APEC summit in South Korea, the utility and challenges of multilateral forums, and expectations for China’s APEC leadership in 2026.
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Paid subscribers can access the full transcript and video podcast.
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Email 2 Summary – Updates from Joseph Politano and Andrew Lokenauth:
- Joseph Politano and Andrew Lokenauth have posted new notes on their Substack linked in the email.
- Topics mentioned include US blue-collar job trends post-pandemic, Costco’s innovative housing developments above stores addressing affordable housing, and mortgage cost trends.
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These posts provide timely insights into economic and social issues affecting labor markets and housing.
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Email 3 Summary – Asian Business Review Highlights:
- The newsletter discusses key energy and technology trends in Asia for 2026.
- Highlights include nuclear ships reducing fuel and carbon costs by $68 million annually, grid infrastructure constraints becoming a prime concern, and rapid growth of thermal energy storage markets.
- Other topics include the expansion of geothermal heat pumps, bifacial solar markets, and an active M&A environment with US$4.8 trillion total deal value.
- The report also notes weakening Australian gas demand and strong insurance sector hiring in Hong Kong.
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Upcoming event announcements and sponsored content featuring digital transformation and AI security complete the issue.
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Email 4 Summary – MarketWatch “Need to Know” Market Update:
- Nvidia shares are rebounding strongly, contributing to optimism in the tech-heavy Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices.
- Technical analysis suggests potential for Nvidia to reach $220 in the coming weeks, with broader tech sector gains anticipated.
- Rising copper prices are highlighted, reaching $12,000 a ton for the first time, reflecting supply constraints, strong demand for electrification and technology applications.
- Market commentary suggests continuing strength for the S&P 500 but also signals to watch for technical resistance and possible corrections.
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Other notable developments include news on Apple CEO share purchases, Intel and Nvidia chip manufacturing cooperation, and corporate moves by BP, UiPath, and others.
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Email 5 Summary – Fluent in Finance Newsletter on Markets, Commodities & AI:
- Provides an in-depth analysis of the current market environment, describing a “K-shaped” economy with diverging fortunes.
- Highlights a strong but unstable stock market fueled by AI investments, consumer spending boosted by temporary EV tax credit effects, and a surge in safe-haven assets like gold and silver.
- Metals like gold ($4,500/oz), silver (above $70/oz), and copper (above $12,000/ton) hit historic highs driven by geopolitical risks, central bank buying, and industrial demand.
- Discusses the risks and euphoric phase of the AI investment boom, with large spending by companies like OpenAI and related cloud and chip makers.
- Notes significant weakness in consumer sentiment despite headline GDP growth, warning of underlying economic stress.
- Specific stocks to watch include Structure Therapeutics, Hycroft Mining, Rocket Lab, Unusual Machines, and Novo Nordisk.
- Technical and sentiment analyses indicate a near-term bullish trend with caution advised.
- Calls for banning insider trading by politicians are also included as a social commentary aspect.
Stay Well!
